A CSIRO team rebuilt the M87* image from eight days of public Event Horizon Telescope data with a calibration-proof AI method and found a ring 42.2 ± 1.5 microarcseconds across, matching 2019, though it reanalyses the same data rather than new observations.

Peer reviewed · Reanalysis of existing public data · Machine-learning imaging method

The famous orange ring around the black hole in galaxy M87 has passed an outside check. Samuel Lai and three colleagues at CSIRO, Australia’s national science agency, report in Nature that a different imaging method, built to ignore telescope calibration errors and to start with no idea of what a black hole looks like, recovers the same ring the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) published in 2019. That matters because a few earlier reanalyses argued the ring might be an artefact of how the image was made. The limit: this is the same telescope data, processed a new way.

What you need to know

  • Finding: The new images show a ring 42.2 ± 1.5 microarcseconds (μas) across, against 42 ± 3 μas in the 2019 EHT result, and imply a black hole of 6.5 ± 0.5 billion Suns.
  • Method: An algorithm called GenDIReCT built images only from “closure invariants”, combinations of three-telescope measurements in which station calibration errors cancel, using a diffusion model trained on ordinary photos rather than black-hole simulations.
  • Source: Lai, Thyagarajan, Wong and Diakogiannis, Nature 659, 317–323, published online 11 November 2026 (open access).
  • Why it matters: Some independent reanalyses had produced images without a clear ring; a method with fewer human choices now finds the ring in all three years of data tested (2017, 2018 and 2021).
  • Limitation: No new observations were made; both analyses start from the same public EHT measurements, and the ring was less clear in some reconstructions from the weaker datasets.

Evidence at a glance

Evidence summary for the CSIRO reanalysis of the M87* black hole image
ItemAssessment
Evidence statusPeer reviewed (Nature); a reanalysis of existing public EHT data with a new machine-learning imaging method.
Primary sourceLai S, Thyagarajan N, Wong OI, Diakogiannis F. “Independent interferometric observable confirms black hole shadow in M87*”, Nature 659, 317–323 (2026). Received 17 April, accepted 2 October, published online 11 November 2026. Full text read.
Evidence strengthModerate to strong for the ring itself, because it now appears with a second, very different pipeline across eight observing days in three years. Moderate for the mass, which depends on the assumed distance and a standard scaling from ring size to black-hole size.
Principal limitationThe method is independent; the data are not. Any problem in the raw EHT measurements themselves would affect both analyses.
Coverage at a glance3 distinct publishers as of 12 November 2026, 06:30 UTC: CSIRO’s release (read via its Phys.org republication), The Conversation (written by two of the study’s authors) and The Register (independent reporting). Counted from web searches; republished copies are not counted separately.

Sources: the Nature paper (CC BY 4.0), the 2019 EHT paper I (ApJL 875, L1), and a SciQuest coverage search.

Is this a big deal?

A solid confirmation, not a new discovery. The ring was already the mainstream reading. What this paper adds is a check by people outside the EHT Collaboration (none of the four authors is on the 2019 EHT paper’s author list, by our check), using a method that removes two common worries: calibration errors and the hand-set starting guesses that standard imaging codes need. It narrows, but does not end, the debate.

What scientists found

Across all eight datasets, the team’s images converge on a compact ring about 40 μas wide. On the best day of each year (11 April 2017, 21 April 2018 and 18 April 2021) the ring kept the same size and orientation whatever image size the algorithm was told to search, and its brightest side sat to the south or southwest.

The authors measured an average diameter of 42.2 ± 1.5 μas from their images. A separate test that fitted a simple mathematical ring model directly to the data gave 42.3 ± 1.1 μas. In the paper’s words, the method unequivocally reproduce[s] a ring-like morphology.

From that size, an assumed distance of 16.8 megaparsecs (about 55 million light-years) and a standard scaling, they estimate a mass of 6.5 ± 0.5 billion Suns. The ring’s appearance best matched simulated black holes viewed about 20° from the jet that points toward us.

How small is 42 μas? By our calculation, it is the width of an object about 8 cm across, roughly a doughnut, seen on the Moon from Earth. Lai used the same doughnut comparison in the CSIRO release. At M87’s distance, that angle spans about 710 times the Earth–Sun distance, or about 4 light-days.

How they found it

The EHT links radio dishes on several continents so they act like one Earth-sized telescope observing at 1.3 mm wavelength. The catch is that the dishes sample only scattered patches of what a real Earth-sized dish would see, and each station’s signal is distorted by the atmosphere above it. Turning that into a picture needs assumptions, and the choice of assumptions can change the result.

Nithyanandan Thyagarajan had developed the maths of closure invariants: combinations of measurements from triangles of telescopes in which each station’s own errors cancel out. Lai built GenDIReCT around them. Its diffusion model, the same family of AI used to generate pictures from text, learned what images generally look like mainly from CIFAR-10, a library of small photos of things like cars and animals. It was not trained on any astronomical images.

The team ran it on public EHT data from 5, 6, 10 and 11 April 2017, 21 and 25 April 2018, and 13 and 18 April 2021, at three different image sizes up to 450 μas square. Before M87, they had tested it on simulated data and on real EHT observations of the quasar 3C 279 and the galaxy Centaurus A, which have jet shapes rather than rings; it reproduced the published EHT images of those at 98% and 91% similarity.

Same black hole, new method: the numbers line up M87* ring size and black-hole mass from the 2019 EHT analysis, the new CSIRO analysis, and earlier mass methods Ring diameter (microarcseconds, μas) 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 EHT 20192017 data, 42 ± 3 New: imaging2017–2021 data, 42.2 ± 1.5 New: ring-model fit2017–2021 data, 42.3 ± 1.1 Black-hole mass (billion Suns) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Gas motionsHubble data, 3.5 (−0.7/+0.9) Star motionsGemini data, 6.6 ± 0.4 EHT 2019ring size + simulations, 6.5 ± 0.7 New studyring size + nominal scaling, 6.5 ± 0.5 Data reanalysed (public EHT, 1.3 mm): 2017: 5, 6, 10, 11 April · 2018: 21, 25 April · 2021: 13, 18 April = 8 observing days, no new observations ± values are as each paper reports them (EHT 2019: measurement range; new study: spread across days and fields of view), so the bars are not identical statistics. Sources: Lai et al., Nature (2026), doi:10.1038/s41586-026-11241-9; EHT Collaboration, ApJL 875, L1 (2019). SciQuest original graphic.
The new CSIRO ring measurements (orange) agree with the 2019 EHT value, and the implied mass matches the star-motion estimate rather than the lower gas-motion one. Error bars are as each paper reports them and are not identical statistics. Values from Lai et al., Nature (2026), including the gas and star estimates it cites, and EHT Collaboration (2019). SciQuest original graphic.

Why it matters to you

Nothing about daily life changes. The payoff is trust: a widely shared science image now has an outside check, and Einstein’s prediction of a dark shadow ringed by light passes again with a different toolkit. The authors also say calibration-free imaging could help other sparse-data problems, but that is a suggestion, not something tested here.

What the evidence does not show

It does not provide new observations. Both the EHT and the CSIRO team start from the same calibrated public data, so a flaw in the raw recordings would not be caught.

The AI is not prior-free. It learns an implicit sense of what images look like from its training photos, and the authors note that its spread of solutions is not a formal Bayesian uncertainty. On some lower-quality days, a few reconstructions showed a less clear ring.

The study also leaves the fine detail open. Ring width, the brightness of the dark centre and the lopsidedness of the ring varied between methods and days, so the authors say those features probably do not reflect the source itself. Black-hole spin is not constrained.

How this fits what we already knew

The EHT published the first image in April 2019, a ring 42 ± 3 μas across implying 6.5 ± 0.7 billion Suns. In 2022, Makoto Miyoshi and colleagues reanalysed the public 2017 data and argued in The Astrophysical Journal that the ring was an artefact of a narrow field of view and gaps in the telescope coverage. The new paper directly tests that claim. It finds the field-of-view sensitivity disappears when the higher-quality days are used, and suggests the earlier result may reflect the sparse 5 April 2017 data.

Another machine-learning reanalysis, PRIMO, reported in 2023 a sharper ring of 41.5 ± 0.6 μas, but PRIMO was trained on simulations of black holes. The CSIRO model’s training on unrelated photos is what makes its independence argument stronger.

The new mass also takes a side in an older dispute. Star motions gave about 6.6 billion Suns; gas motions gave about 3.5 billion. The ring size fits the stellar value. A 3.5-billion-Sun black hole would cast a ring only about 22 μas across, by our calculation, close to the EHT’s resolution limit of about 20 μas.

What the researchers and the EHT said

“This is the first truly independent validation of the EHT image, an important step in the scientific process,” Lai said in a CSIRO release republished by Phys.org. Laurent Loinard, director of the EHT Collaboration, welcomed the work in the same release; he leads the team whose result was being checked. The paper was reviewed for Nature by Andre Offringa and an anonymous referee. SciQuest has not yet obtained comment from a researcher outside both groups, including the authors of the earlier critiques.

How other headlines framed it

  • Phys.org, carrying CSIRO’s release, framed it as an independent technique validating a landmark image, with endorsement from the EHT director.
  • The Conversation posed the accuracy question in its headline; the piece is written by Lai and Thyagarajan themselves.
  • The Register framed it as scientists checking their work, although the four authors were not part of the 2019 EHT paper.

None of the three stresses that the check reuses the same telescope data, which is the main reason to read “independent” as independent method.

What happens next

The authors point to two upgrades. Observations of M87’s core with the James Webb Space Telescope’s NIRSpec instrument should tighten the stellar mass estimate. Further out, radio dishes in space could add longer baselines and resolve the thin photon ring, which would allow a direct measure of the black hole’s spin.

In one sentence

A calibration-proof AI method trained on everyday photos, run by researchers outside the EHT, finds the same 42-microarcsecond ring around M87’s black hole in data from three years, though it reuses the original telescope measurements.

Quick check: did it click?
  1. What makes this check “independent”? The method: different people, calibration-free closure invariants, and an AI trained on ordinary photos. The telescope data are the same.
  2. Why does the ring size settle part of the mass debate? A 42 μas ring fits about 6.5 billion Suns, matching star-motion estimates; the gas-motion value of 3.5 billion would give a ring about half as wide.
  3. What is still unknown? The black hole’s spin, and fine details of the ring such as its width.

Read next

Sources and disclosure

  1. Lai S, Thyagarajan N, Wong OI, Diakogiannis F. “Independent interferometric observable confirms black hole shadow in M87*.” Nature 659, 317–323 (2026). doi:10.1038/s41586-026-11241-9. Open access, CC BY 4.0. Authors declare no competing interests; no specific funding.
  2. Event Horizon Telescope Collaboration. “First M87 Event Horizon Telescope Results. I. The Shadow of the Supermassive Black Hole.” The Astrophysical Journal Letters 875, L1 (2019). doi:10.3847/2041-8213/ab0ec7.
  3. Miyoshi M, Kato Y, Makino J. “The Jet and Resolved Features of the Central Supermassive Black Hole of M87 Observed with the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT).” The Astrophysical Journal 933, 36 (2022). doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ac6ddb.
  4. Medeiros L, et al. “The Image of the M87 Black Hole Reconstructed with PRIMO.” The Astrophysical Journal Letters 947, L7 (2023). doi:10.3847/2041-8213/acc32d.
  5. CSIRO release “Independent technique validates landmark M87* image,” republished by Phys.org, 11 November 2026 (source of the Lai quote and the Loinard comment).

Disclosure: This article was drafted with AI assistance and checked against the sources above, including the full Nature paper. Calculations by SciQuest: 1 μas = 4.848 × 10−12 radians, so 42.2 μas = 2.05 × 10−10 rad; at the Moon’s 384,400 km that spans 7.9 cm; at 16.8 Mpc (5.18 × 1020 km, about 55 million light-years) it spans 1.06 × 1011 km ≈ 709 AU ≈ 4.1 light-days; the ring scales with mass, so 3.5 billion Suns gives about 42 × 3.5/6.5 ≈ 23 μas by simple proportion, and about 21 μas using the textbook shadow formula 2√27 GM/(c²D), hence “about 22 μas”; 1.3 mm divided by Earth’s 12,742 km diameter ≈ 21 μas resolution. The graphic is a SciQuest original built from the values in the cited papers. Spotted an error? See our corrections policy.


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